We have way more questions than answers about the 2024 presidential election.
Is President Joe Biden going to run again? He has said he plans to, but if he doesn’t, who emerges as the Democratic nominee? Is former President Donald Trump going to run again? Would anyone seriously challenge him for the Republican nomination?
Like I said, more unknowns than knowns.
But if recent history is any guide, we do know one important thing: The 2024 election is very likely to be extremely close.
That point is made powerfully in a new paper from William A. Galston and Elaine Kamarck published by
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