Democrats can defy history in 2022. Here's how

The huge voter turnout over the past three elections could scramble the usual dynamics of midterm voting – potentially providing Democrats their best chance to avoid losses next year that could cost them control of the House, the Senate or both.

The president’s party has almost always lost ground in the first midterm after his election, a trend that stretches back well into the 19th century and threatens Democrats clinging to a slim majority in the House and a 50-50 split in the Senate after Joe Biden’s victory in 2020. One reason for those consistent losses, political scientists and campaign operatives agree, has been that voters who support