If the election were held today, Democrats would not only lose control of the House, but suffer massive losses in their ranks.
That’s the conclusion that should be drawn from new ABC News/Washington Post polling that shows a generic Republican candidate leading a generic Democratic one by a 49% to 42% margin among registered voters nationally. (That gap expands to 13 points when you limit the sample to registered voters who say they are “certain” to vote.)
That’s known as the generic ballot test. For decades, it’s been a reliable weathervane as to which way – and how hard – the partisan winds are blowing.
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